Lately the intelligence community has come out and said Iran is not developing nukes. 

This answer feels cooked up to satisfy somebodies goals to me. 

Iran is developing nukes.  This is a dollars to donuts type of bet.  I’m thinking of the era when the phrase originated and you could get a donut for 5 cents.

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In fact I think the odds are quite a bit longer.   In fact I’ll be your personal butler for 1 year if there is not an announcement within 10 years of their completing development of a fission bomb.   What will you bet against my 1 year of indentured servitude? ( you have to feed me and give me a place to stay …spare bedroom is ok )  Remember I’m a degreed electrical engineer so I’m a great pet monkey to have.  If you farmed me out you could probably pull down 100K$ per year.   I’m 250lbs and mostly muscle so I give a great massage.  I’m hoping if you want this service that you are a woman.  If you are a man figure you better place a higher bet and no Homer Formby hand finishes.  

Nontheless….make a note of it.  Iran will announce with 10 years of this writing.  I say 10 years only because I think its absolutely certain they will announce in this time period.  I have no worries about being your Butler.   You people need to wake up and listen to the little voice that inhabits your head.   Magical thinking gets you screwed in this world.