Tweet: Nickel – The quiet setup

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Nickel – the quiet setup All eyes are on precious metals. It’s understandable: gold and silver just had their best 2-year run in decades. But to win big in commodities, you need to target what’s ignored. First in my series of forgotten ones, we’ll cover how to play it and the key nickel equities. Assembled by my AI analyst, it's improving – less mistakes and no hallucinations.

High-exposure Producers

  • INCO Vale Indonesia – Indonesia
  • NIC Nickel Industries – Australia/Indonesia
  • GMKN Norilsk Nickel – Russia
  • 3833.HK Xinjiang Xinxin – China
  • NIKL.PH Nickel Asia – Philippines
  • ANTM Aneka Tambang – Indonesia
  • MBMA Merdeka Battery Materials – Indonesia

Medium-exposure Producers

  • VALE Vale S.A. – Brazil
  • ERMAY Eramet – France
  • IGO IGO Ltd – Australia

Low-exposure Producers (diversified majors)

  • BHP BHP Group – Australia
  • GLEN Glencore – Switzerland/UK
  • NGLOY Anglo American – UK
  • SOUHY South32 – Australia 
  • SBSW Sibanye Stillwater – South Africa Developers / Explorers / Early Stage
  • CNC Canada Nickel – Canada
  • NICU Magna Mining – Canada
  • TMC The Metals Company – Canada
  • PNPNF Power Nickel – Canada
  • NIS NickelSearch – Australia
  • BSX Blackstone Minerals – Australia
  • TLO Talon Metals – Canada
  • PGE Stillwater Critical Minerals – Canada
  • SHL Homeland Nickel – Canada
  • LZM Lifezone Metals – UK/Tanzania
  • CHN Chalice Mining – Australia
  • CTM Centaurus Metals – Australia
  • HRZ Horizon Minerals – Australia
  • NCKL Trimegah Bangun Persada – Indonesia
  • NICL PAM Mineral – Indonesia
  • DKFT Central Omega Resources – Indonesia 
  • NEXM NexMetals Mining – Canada
  • FNI Global Ferronickel Holdings – Philippines
  • NICE Adhi Kartiko Pratama – Indonesia
  • ESR Estrella Resources – Australia
  • ALB Albion Resources – Australia ETF basket
  • NIKL Sprott Nickel Miners ETF – Global

Stocks: Borr Drilling Limited BORR Offshore Drilling

Notes

  • 8% Dividend

Research Links

Summary

Offshore is shifting toward dense, near-shore programs led by national oil companies across the Middle East and Asia. Budgets run for years, and the rigs doing most of the work are jack-ups; fast to move, quick to drill, built for repeat campaigns. With limited new supply and tight schedules, operators are prioritizing reliability and continuity.

Borr Drilling is set up for this. It runs a young, modern jack-up fleet in the basins that matter; Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Southeast Asia, Mexico, and West Africa; for major state operators. Contracts are moving to better terms, gaps between jobs are small, and debt is coming down. This note explains what that means for cash and value, and what to watch next.


1.1 Why the outlook is strong
Day-rates have doubled. Premium rigs now earn $130–150k/day, compared with $70–80k/day just three years ago.

Utilization is tight. Roughly 91% of modern rigs are working, near full levels for this market.

Little new supply. Only about 11 rigs are under construction worldwide (~2.5% of the fleet), meaning today’s shortage won’t be solved quickly.

Long-term programs. Middle Eastern and Asian oil companies are already extending drilling commitments well into the late 2020s.

1.2 Where the earnings come from
Investors often look at BORR’s backlog and assume the growth story is limited. But many rigs are still finishing older contracts signed at much lower rates. As these contracts roll off, they are reset to today’s higher levels, often close to double.

This means its cash flow is set to rise quarter by quarter without adding a single new rig. In the meantime, the company has been improving its balance sheet: in Q2 it repaid about $67M of debt and added around $200M in liquidity. Less financial pressure means more of the new cash flow will reach shareholders.

Silver Dollar Resources SLVDF and Impact Silver Miner ISVLF Private Placement LIFE Overhang Listed Issuer Financing Exemption

Notes:

Research Links

Listed Issuer Financing Exemption

Subject to compliance with applicable regulatory requirements and in accordance with National Instrument 45-106 – Prospectus Exemptions ("NI 45-106"), the Units under the Offering will be offered for sale to purchasers resident in all of the provinces of Canada with the exception of Québec pursuant to the listed issuer financing exemption under Part 5A of NI 45-106, as amended by Coordinated Blanket Order 45-935 – Exemptions from Certain Conditions of the Listed Issuer Financing Exemption (the "Listed Issuer Financing Exemption"). The Unit Shares and the Warrant Shares underlying the Units are expected to be immediately freely tradeable in accordance with applicable Canadian securities legislation if sold to purchasers resident in Canada. The Units may also be sold in offshore jurisdictions and in the United States on a private placement basis pursuant to one or more exemptions from the registration requirements of the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "U.S. Securities Act"). All securities not issued pursuant to the Listed Issuer Financing Exemption will be subject to a hold period in accordance with applicable Canadian securities law, expiring four months and one day following the Closing Date.

 

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